Publications

Small Business Economic Trends – Feb 2015

The Index of Small Business Optimism gained 0.1 points to reach 98.0, the long-term average including the Great Recession and the third highest reading since…

Small Business Economic Trends – Jan 2015

The Small Business Optimism Index fell 2.5 points to 97.9, giving back the December gain that took the Index over 100. Still, the Index indicates…

Small Business Economic Trends – Dec 2014

The Small Business Optimism Index gained 2.3 points, at long last taking the Index back to its pre- recession average and the highest reading since…

Small Business Economic Trends – Nov 2014

The Small Business Optimism Index gained 0.8 points, restoring the August reading of 96.1, either a strong recession reading or a weak expansion reading, no…

Small Business Economic Trends – Oct 2014

September’s Optimism Index gave up 0.8 points, falling to 95.3. At 95.3, the Index is now 5 points below the pre-recession average (from 1973 to…

Indicators of Macro-economic Performance

The analysis presents an extensive series of equations and graphs showing the capacity of small business data to forecast (predict) the course of national economic…